Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.019685 0.021530 0.023388 0.025394 0.027497 0.029631 0.031957
2025-07-27 0.016036 0.018891 0.021881 0.025228 0.028854 0.032644 0.036891
2025-08-03 0.014450 0.017915 0.021642 0.025913 0.030632 0.035654 0.041370
2025-08-10 0.012661 0.016494 0.020724 0.025671 0.031239 0.037255 0.044194
2025-08-17 0.011158 0.015243 0.019860 0.025366 0.031661 0.038553 0.046595
2025-08-24 0.009963 0.014245 0.019193 0.025197 0.032161 0.039874 0.048961
2025-08-31 0.008882 0.013294 0.018508 0.024942 0.032504 0.040969 0.051031
2025-09-07 0.008015 0.012540 0.018001 0.024844 0.032985 0.042186 0.053206
2025-09-14 0.007060 0.011605 0.017217 0.024366 0.032980 0.042810 0.054676
2025-09-21 0.006200 0.010730 0.016457 0.023873 0.032919 0.043337 0.056007
2025-09-28 0.005344 0.009796 0.015570 0.023179 0.032579 0.043508 0.056899
2025-10-05 0.005025 0.009578 0.015586 0.023592 0.033562 0.045224 0.059580
2025-10-12 0.004424 0.008958 0.015099 0.023420 0.033905 0.046275 0.061604
2025-10-19 0.003862 0.008359 0.014622 0.023258 0.034270 0.047376 0.063722
2025-10-26 0.003638 0.008247 0.014789 0.023911 0.035636 0.049665 0.067237
2025-11-02 0.003156 0.007684 0.014299 0.023681 0.035876 0.050583 0.069114
2025-11-09 0.002707 0.007128 0.013784 0.023389 0.036016 0.051363 0.070813
2025-11-16 0.002343 0.006672 0.013384 0.023228 0.036305 0.052312 0.072705
2025-11-23 0.001998 0.006205 0.012940 0.022984 0.036471 0.053097 0.074388
2025-11-30 0.001725 0.005835 0.012617 0.022891 0.036818 0.054096 0.076324
2025-12-07 0.001407 0.005329 0.012053 0.022435 0.036672 0.054468 0.077487
2025-12-14 0.001127 0.004848 0.011497 0.021966 0.036488 0.054778 0.078562
2025-12-21 0.000855 0.004321 0.010828 0.021304 0.036027 0.054722 0.079173